Wednesday, May 6, 2020

COVID-19_Corona_Eradication_Study_IB_Continuation of Corona IA_Position Paper_By Keith Torkelson MS_Origin_AnimaCules

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Feature Image – Calvin Schwabe
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The Father of Veterinary Epidemiology
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This is Part IB in a two part report.
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Part IB Title
COVID-19_Corona_Eradication_Study_IB_Continuation of Corona IA_Position Paper_By Keith Torkelson MS_Origin_AnimaCules

Link to Part IA
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Disclaimer
If not indicated otherwise all the tables and findings apply to Keith Torkelson MS (Buster).
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Dedicated To:
US President, California Governor, Mayor of Santa Ana, Director US Department of Health & Human Services, Medicare, Medicaid (Medi-Cal), Mary Hale, and the Rest Here on China Isle.

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List of Tables – Matrices – Figures
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PART IA of 2
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Feature Image - [DANIEL SALMON]
List of Tables – Matrices – Figures
Figures - Science Education Performance UC Davis
Figure – Medical Records Consumer Keith Torkelson
Table - (*) =Associations Mentor Key
Table – UC Davis Centered - Good Old Boys Promises to Mentors
Special Topic – Things Greater Than Us (TGTU) Sample
Figure - [INSERT PEACE IN 3D]
Table – TGTU – DEATH  - A Numbers Game Keeping Up with the Virus
Table - A Promise of Eradication
Matrix – Comparative Disease Eradication Profiles
Matrix – Orange County “Corona” Statistic Breakdown – Powers of Ten
Figure - Professional Predictions – Case by Age
Table – Things Put Off (Fairly Exhaustive Sample)
Table - Corona Buddies
Table - Not Corona Buddies – Corona Antagonists
Table - Who to trust with your Corona Concerns - Entities
Table - Who to trust with your Corona Concerns – Person(s)
Table – Identifying Interests to Dump
Table – Variation in Corona Presentation
Matrix - In Network DEATHs – As 20200420-M:
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PART IB of 2
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Table – Implementing Basic Control Measures Summary
Figure – Sample of Corona Signs - Leveraging Signage
Table – Wristband or Other Indicator Color Key
Table – Precautionary Distancing From the Virus
Table Model - Symptoms (Cold & Flu-like 12 Item Screener)
Table - Persons of Interest (POIs) – Consumers – Homogeneous Roll Call
Table - Persons of Interest (POIs) – Consumers – Heterogeneous Roll Call
Table – Summaries – Private Health – Local Facilities & Providers
Table – BND - Symptoms Tracking (Brief) & Treatment (Derived)
Matrix – BND - Tracking Additional Symptoms (Derived)
Table – BND - Follow Universal Precautions – Early Interventions
Table - Social and Agent Distance Measures – Physical Plant and Areas
Table - Social and Agent Distance Measures – General (Sample)
Table – BND Preventive Actions & Behaviors – Not Exhaustive (Modified)
Table – Introduction to Containing Biohazards
Table – BND - Symptom Mitigation in Lieu of Prescription Fixes
Table – BND - Populations at Risk (Expected) – Orange County California
Table - Agency Engagement List (AEL)
Table – Credit Union Advice – Transmission - “Buster’s” Behaviors
Matrix – Corona (COVID-19) Activity – Focus California
Table – Demonstrating Data Transformation – Data Related to Whole of Earth
Figure – Digital Information Paste Option Example
Table - Environmental Control Measures – Combining Some Observations
Table - Corona & Friendships – Face-To-Face (F2F)
Matrix – Health Related Engagement Friendships
Matrix - 2012-2018 - Matrix - Health Related Engagement (HRE) & Dosage Summary
Matrix - 2019-2020 - Health Related Engagements (HRE) & Dosage Summary
Appendix - Table - Associated Papers – Spring 2020
Images @ The End
Promotions @ The End
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Table – Implementing Basic Control Measures Summary
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Assess about Control Points

2020
0416
(TH)
Note
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Part I CALC

4.25/8
CARRIED
Part II CALC

2.75/7
CARRIED
Parts I and II

7.00/15





Reactive Development Score (RDS) =

46.7%





Last Reviewed: 20200422-W:
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Table – Implementing Basic Control Measures – Part I of II
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Control Point

2020
0416
(TH)
Note


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Agent Host Distance

0.50
Hard to tell where Corona is: Agent presence needs to be made more obvious


Avoid At Risk Persons

0.00
Heterogeneous housemates: Very little about the cases that died and why


Biohazard

0.75
Assume all materials associated with respiratory track are positive


Biosecurity

0.75
This is what everyone is creating based on the their needs


Hands with gloves

1.00
A RN reference said that the average person need not glove up


Hands without gloves

0.75
Handwashing increases the distance between host and agent: Dilution Principle


Hospital nosocomial infection [spelled]

NA
More transparency about infections at large in a given hospital


Host Environment Distance

0.50
Distance between host (carrier) and environment need to be maximized


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CALC

4.25/8
CARRIED


Reactive Development   Score (RDS) =
(Sub-score)

53.1%



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Last Reviewed: 20200501-F:
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Table – Implementing Basic Control Measures – Part II of II
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Control Point

2020
0416
(TH)
Note


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Knowing persons that are positive

0.00
Wear a colored (red) wristband
Vigilance about COPD Noises


Little change in the Equilibrium

0.25
New person joins inner circle


Masks

0.50
Assume mask offers very little safety


Service Sanitation

0.75
Crime or hazmat scene cleaners


Shoes/Boots

0.50
Quaternary Ammonia bucket(s)


Signage

0.00
At the facility level: Signs that display Corona Safe Place Score (CSPS)


Social Distance

0.75
Assume not one’s mask works: Some are calling it social spacing now


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CALC

2.75/7
CARRIED


Reactive Development Score (RDS) =
(Sub-Score)

39.3%



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Last Reviewed: 20200501-F:
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Figure – Sample of Corona Signs - Leveraging Signage
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Caption - Workers First
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Health First – Help Second
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Table – Wristband or Other Indicator Color Key (Suggestions)
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Color/Other

Suggested Meaning
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1-Blue

Serious issue in K-12
2-Yellow

Vulnerable
3-Red

Has been impacted by corona
Green

Associates with the mentally ill
Buster wears this one on and off
Orange

Substance User
Purple

Volunteer worker that helps people in need
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Black

Housing concern including homeless
White

Test negative or healthy and carries protective antibodies for corona
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Last Reviewed: 20200501-F:
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Social Partnership – BND subsidized “Wider Circle”
20200407-TU Wider Circle Mailer
“Stay connected with your community and learn valuable information in support of your health and well-being”
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Setting things RIGHT: A promise of kissing partners
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20200424-F: Teleconference - Wider Circle Offerings
Frequency Weekly for Month of May
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Coronavirus: How to stay healthy
How to talk to a doctor from my home
Meditation. Gratitude. Joy.
Protect yourself from fraud
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Environmental Management
Table – Precautionary Distancing From the Virus
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Nature

Example
Note

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Barrier

Masks and SuperMasks


Homogenizing

Group of relatively health people that stays together
One goes out taking considerable precautions

Humidity

In general viruses thrive in low humidity or dry conditions


Over Wintering

This is our goal


Sanitizing


Infective Dose

Sterilizing

Very unlikely achievement in the home and community


Seasonal

Use flu as a model
We will very likely now have a Corona Season each year
Dr Oz says we are unlikely to eradicate Coronavirus

Space

Outdoors – indoor – tight – un-ventilated


Temporal

How much time from residual contagion effects
Will an infective space clean itself

Thermal

FAQ – Is it better to wash with hot water versus cool water


Self-Limiting

When all those at high risk meet the Corona Challenge


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Last Reviewed: 20200501-F:
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Modeling – Modified Flu Elimination List
Table Model - Symptoms (Cold & Flu-like 12 Item Screener)
The Reason for the Season: why flu strikes in winter - Science
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Symptom

Buster
2020
0323
(M-ON)
Buster
2020
0327
(F)
Buster
2020
0417
(F)

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Cold-like Symptoms





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01
-Cough (Productive)

Severe
Moderate
Mild

02
-Cough (Non-productive)

Rare
Rare
Rare

03
-Sore Throat

Mild
V Mild
Mild

04
-Stuffy Nose

Severe
More runny
Lavage
Works

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Flu Symptoms





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05
-Fever

None
None
None

06
-Cold Sweats

None
None
None

07
-Aches Throughout The Body

Minor
Minor
Minor

08
-Headache

Minor
V Minor
V Minor

09
-Exhaustion

Moderate
Better
Better

10
-GI Vomiting

Absent
Absent
Absent

11
-GI Diarrhea

Absent
Absent
Absent

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Other





12
-Thermoregulation

Challenge
Better
Better

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CALC

4.00/12
2.50/12
0.00/12


Respiratory Challenge Screener Score (RCSS) =

33.3%
20.8%
0.0%

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Last Reviewed: 20200413-M:
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20200325-W: Teladoc Call for Respiratory Symptoms (Buster)
Teladoc screener says they are “overwhelmed wait on it”!
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Matters @ Home – “Safe Places”
Table - Persons of Interest (POIs) – Consumers – Homogeneous Roll Call
Social Networking V Social Poverty
Sample – Persons’ That Impact “Busters” Health
Sample of Corona Cohort
20200323-M: Status – As Positive Unknown
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POI

Note
Detail

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Charles

Smoker
Smokers cough

Mike O

Being Underserved by is PCP & BHD
Legacy CODP issues
Recovered in the hospital from pneumonia + flu

Mikel R

Calls “911” and brought to regular hospital
Missed opportunity to get him on   appropriate medication
Moderate risk
Slight Dry Cough
Discovered he was smoking Spice

New Guy “Bee”

Brand New Day referral
20200415-W
Lasted less than a week

New Old Man John 

202003 - Hospitalized Lung Cancer
Transferred to Skilled Nursing
Severe COPD
Dying Old Man
Confirmed Dead Now
Likely Not Associated with Corona

New Guy
Philip “Morris”

Brand New Day referral
Origin unknown
20200427-M Moved in
20200428-TU Kicked out

Rochester

Ex-smoker
Residual cough

Theodore “Zep”

Ex-smoker
Can’t care for self
Persistent residual cough

William (Bill)

Wasting away
Peculiar cough noise






Last Reviewed: 20200417-F:
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How is it homogeneous? V How is it heterogeneous?
Basically a homogeneous environment is one where the people are healthy and there is little coming and going.  A heterogeneous environment is where a significant portion of the people come and go.  In addition the people that come and go do so to places that are in general unknown for the others’ with which they live.  People in a heterogeneous environment also have a tendency to us public transportation.
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Matters @ Home “Safe Places”
Table - Persons of Interest – Consumers – Heterogeneous Roll Call
Roll Call of Those that Go Out
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POI

Note
Likelihood

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“AG”

Elderly
Cough on and off

“AM”

Elderly
Cough infrequent

Buster

Smoker
Pre-existing symptoms
Moderate: Went to doctors appointments: Smoking aggravated cough

Carl

Visitor – Uses public transportation
Highest risk person
Slight cough

Hunter

Household cook
Post nasal drip

John S

Being underserved by his BHD
Moderate

New Guy “Bee”

20200415-W
New to cohort health history unknown

Richard

Older adult
Terrible cough
Elevated likelihood

Wayne

Anger issues
No observe

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Bera

Has yet to prove healing concept
No cough No mask at Appt in March 2020

Mojica

Further along with healing concept that Bera
No cough Wore mask at Appt in March 2020

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Last Reviewed: 20200417-F:  All persons in this table go out and do mostly unknown activities: POI = Person Of Interest
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A Safer Place
Due to the fact that Buster lives in a heterogeneous environment of low to moderate risk he has a Safer Place to go.  Buster rents space in Tustin California.  He has set up office at what we here at Mentalation Solutions Group (MSG) call our Deep Space 226 Facility (DS226F).  At most he crosses paths with five (5) persons per day.  Two other males frequent our floor.  Both always keep their distance of fifty feet of more.  Buster’s Safer Place tends to be low risk.
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Buster's Deep Space 226 Office
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Low Risk - Social Spacing
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Table – Summaries – Private Health – Local Facilities & Providers
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Entity

Communication
Route
Lesson
Advice
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Primary Care Physician (PCP)
Chester D Mojica

None
20200317-TU
Keep your appointments to the best of your ability
ASK Ahnika (MD PhD)

Multiple
Actually Public Health (NIH)
Looks like she will get funding to control corona for life
Behavioral Health Doctor (BHD)
Rimal Bera
PSP
None
20200318-(W)
Appt Wednesday
He can renew our prescriptions without us
Brand New Day (BND)
PSP
Website
Helpful information
Will review
Central City Community Health Center (CCCHC)

PSP
Website
None
PCP can do our annual wellness exam without us
Ophthalmologist
James Boyce

Phone
20200313-F
Appt Monday
Screened us
OK to show up
20200316-M: Appt went well
Waiting room near empty
Optometrist
Ann Inman

Phone & In person
Drop in for next Wednesday
Basically closed till 4-14-20
Teladoc

Phone
20200325-W
Plan for phone consult
Told to wait




Last Reviewed: 20200501-F: PSP – Promotes Social Poverty
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We here at Mentalation Solutions Group (MSG) used quite a bit on Brand New Day information about Corona in our Corona Report Series (CRS).  We modified BND’s information to meet our and ours’ needs.
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Table and Matrix Scaffolding (Modification)
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Applying Brand New Day the Insurer Information
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What are the symptoms of COVID-19?
Table – BND - Symptoms Tracking (Brief) & Treatment (Derived)
“Patients with COVID-19 have had a mild to severe respiratory illness with symptoms of…”
20200324-TU: Symptoms Tracking - Preparing to call in Teladoc
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Symptom

2020
January
Pre-existing
2020
0223
M-ON
Fix for Buster

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Fever

Minor bouts
Absent
Antibiotic

Cough

Smokers
Severe hourly
Antibiotic

Shortness of breath

Not severe
Absent
Inhaler

Sore Throat

Minor bouts in evening and at night
Problematic
Salt Gargle
“The JET Method”

Overall

Preventative actions taken
Diagnosis
Pneumonia
Teladoc phone consult

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Last Reviewed: 20200501-F:
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20200501-F: Update
Since the time we processed Brand New Day’s (BND’s) information at least three additional symptoms of Corona sickness have been added: Headache, dulled taste, and dulled sense of smell.
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Insurer Information – Learn More - Symptoms
Matrix – BND - Tracking Additional Symptoms (Derived)
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##
Sign OR Symptom

2020
0324
TH-ON
2020
0324
BBSS
2020
0417
(F)

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01
Color of mucous

Cloudy
0.50
0.25


Types of Coughs





02
-Cough - Smokers Dry

Often
0.50
0.25

03
-Cough - Non-productive

Less often
0.50
0.25

04
-Cough - Productive

Often
0.50
0.50

05
Lethargy

A Bit
0.50
0.25

06
Sleep - Interrupted Sleep

Most annoying
1.00
1.00

07
Sleep - Deep sleep cough

Most annoying
1.00
0.50

08
Sadness

A Bit
0.50
0.25

09
Worry

Cycles
1.00
0.50

10
Trouble
Making Decisions

When to call Teladoc
1.00
0.50

11
Cough density about house

50% of people
1.00
1.00

12
Allergy like

Allergens at home
1.00
0.75

13
Nasal tickle


0.50
0.25

14
Pneumonia

Treated by Teladoc
February 2020
0.75
0.25

15
Allergy


0.75
0.50

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CALC
11.00/15
7.00/15




Respiratory Related Symptom Score (RRSS) =
73.3%
46.7%

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Last Reviewed: 20200501-F: BBSS = Bothered By Symptoms Score = RRSS = Respiratory Related Symptom Score: AMB Symptom Intensity: ON = Overnight
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Co-morbidity – Sleep Disorder
One of the worse pre-existing conditions when facing many disease challenges is having a sleep disorder.  It takes high quality sleep to facilitate setting a person’s health RIGHT.  If you are coughing during your sleep period you are not sleep.  Treatments that facilitate sleep may very likely augment other treatments whether over-the-county or prescribed.  In addition, pre-emptive antibiotics might be helpful.
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20200430-TH: Headache, smell disturbance, and taste disturbance have been added. [DITTO]
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FAQ - How can I protect myself?
Table – BND - Follow Universal Precautions – Early Interventions
“People can help protect themselves from respiratory illness with everyday preventive actions.”
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Precaution

Overall
March
2020
-


Avoid close contact with people who are sick

SoSo
Avoid touching your eyes, nose, and mouth with unwashed hands

SoSo
Wash your hands with soap and water for at least 20 seconds

Yes
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Last Reviewed: 20200417-F:
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Table - Social and Agent Distance Measures – Physical Plant and Areas
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Area - Specific

Rules
Note (Lesson Learned)


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1-Delhi Community Center
Steering Committee


In association with the Health Care Agency (HCA) – Recovery Indicator Site


2-Wellness Centers

X
Closed – Recovery Indicator site








Albertsons
Edinger & Brookhurst


Good place to get Starbucks


Bank - BOA

X
Online and ATM banking only


Brand New Day (BND)


Closed for all practical purposes
No bus passes
Taxi only


Central City Community Health Center (CCCHC)


Very restrictive on who they will see in the office


Credit Union

X
Used a model


Deep Space 226 Facilities

X
Our way of levelling Buster’s resources


Microcenter

X
One of the most intense control program in Buster’s comings and goings
20200427-M: Masks for all required
They had available free masks


Motel 6

X
April 2020 we sanitized our room


Starbucks

X
For the most part drive up only


Stater Brothers
Santa Ana Edinger & Fairview


April 2020 about ½ of the shoppers wear masks
Social distance markers on the floor


Stater Brothers
Tustin Legacy


Annoying because they keep changing the protocols


Walmart

X
April 2020 less than ½ shoppers were masks








Last Reviewed: 20200428-TU: Rules = Those facilities that informed us of policy
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Rule Making
The rule making about Corona continues to evolve.  For us here at Mentalation Solutions Group (MSG) we have designated to Indicator Sites.  Both are associated with the Orange County Health Care Agency.  At these sites normally there are groupings of people on and off county payroll.  As control measures loosen they will show at the Indicator Sites.  We predict that both the Delhi and Wellness Center will not be the same as they were before the advent of COVID-19.
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[INSERT IMAGE OF STEERING COMMITTEE MEETING]
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Selfie of Buster at the OCHCA MHSA Steering Committee Meeting
For the most part he gets there early
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Typical food and beverages at the OCHCA sponsored MHSA Steering Committee Meeting
We expect some Corona adjustments if and when they resumes
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OCHCA sponsored social @ Delhi (2019)
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Table - Social and Agent Distance Measures – General (Sample)






Area - General

Note (Lesson Learned)
Example


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Elevators

Avoid them else treat enclosure and buttons as needed (PRN)
At the office


In Your Car

(*)
Commute & Errands


Low Ground

When you are sitting or lying down do not let people who are talking or coughing within 7 feet
Watching TV


Parking Lots

Park away from others
Walmart


Safe Spots

Low risk spots where in an hour of more you see no-one coming closer that twenty (20) feet
Front Porch Outside


Service Windows

Many now have plastic shields
Take a moment to learn how their shield works
Bank of America


Service Windows High to Low

Drive up windows - Wear your mask
Starbucks


Space Between Face and Mask (*)

[STAYED]
Two types of masks
Small space
Large space


Stairwells

Some of the same issues as elevators
At the office


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Last Reviewed: 20200427-M:
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(*) Coughing and Sneezing
We recommend that while in your car away from people you open the window and cough or sneeze through the open car window.

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Insurer Information - Learn More – Preventive Actions (Extended)
Table – BND Preventive Actions & Behaviors – Not Exhaustive (Modified)
All numbers for Buster by Buster
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##
Precaution

Note as of
2020
0329
(SU)
QUANT
2020
0329
(SU)
2020
0501
(F)

-






01
Practice social distancing

Satisfied
1.00
0.50

02
Stand about 6 feet from others, if possible

SoSo
0.50
0.75

03
-Avoid traveling – Bus

1 in 14 days
0.50
1.00

04
-Avoid traveling – Airplane

Done
1.00
1.00

05
-Avoid traveling – In Own Car

Daily
0.00
0.50

06
-Avoid traveling – In others car

Done
1.00
1.00

07
Avoid hugging

Done
1.00
1.00

08
-Avoid kissing

:0(((
1.00
1.00

09
Avoid shaking hands whenever   possible

Satisfied
0.75
1.00

10
Disinfect your home

Daily Activity
0.75
0.50

11
Disinfect door handles

Satisfied
0.75
0.50

12
-Disinfect tight closed spaces


1.00
1.00

13
Disinfect other areas that may be touched by others

A Bit
0.75
0.25

14
Cover your cough or sneeze with tissue and throw it in the trash

Satisfied
0.75
0.50

-







CALC


10.75/14
10.50/14


Preventive Measure Score
(BND-PMS) =


76.8%
75.0%

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Last Reviewed: 20200501-F:
-

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Table – Introduction to Containing Biohazards (Sample)
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##
Precaution

Note

2020
0426
(SUN)








01
All New Masks

Assume they are not sterile : Clean them before using

0.50

02
Choose A
Good disinfectant

Choose one that is effective and that the smell you can tolerate day in day our

0.50

03
Common Towels

No more common house towels: Use secure and maintain your own: Pick white towels

1.00

04
Homemade Masks

For solidarity and common respect: For the most part non-protective

0.00

05
Maintain Mask (*)

Several Methods: Decided to rely on 70% Isopropyl Alcohol with periods handwashing

0.50

06
Mask Container(s)

Size enough to hold multiple masks with a tight sealing lid

0.75

07
Multiple Masks

Inside, Outside, Sleep

0.50

08
Paper Towels

For after your best scrub of the day

1.00

09
Quaternary Ammonia

Mainly for large populations in tight spaces such as hospitals

0.75

10
Receptacle

Mask and gloves qualify as bio-hazardous materials: Create and manage a bio-hazard container

0.75

11
Shoes and Rubber Boots

If transferring the virus with your shoes: A good fix is a walk in bucket containing something like a solution of quaternary ammonia

1.00

12
Tissue Paper

Keep handy for coughs and sneezes: Avoid coughing and sneezing into your mask

0.50

13
Treating Tight Spaces

The tightest unknown space we confront often is an elevator: We treat the elevator with spray sanitizer and alcohol for any surface we touch

0.75


Use Of Alcohol

91% Once 70% Twice 50% Four Times

0.75

15
Use Of Bleach

When safe make use of bleach: Reason for using white towels

1.00

16
Wet Towels

Tag them as they present themselves

1.00

-
-








CALC

11.25/16




Sanitary Behavior Confidence Level (SBCL) =

70.3%

-






Last Reviewed: 20200501-F: Instruction: “Follow the preventive actions from above”
-


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FYI – Queries [GO BACK FOR PAPER II]
“covid-19 mechanisms of infectivity”
“How does the coronavirus disease spread?”
-
Social Space & Densities
“COVID-19 is a new disease and we are still learning how it spreads. The virus that causes COVID-19 is thought to mainly spread from close contact (i.e., within about 6 feet) with a person who is currently sick with COVID-19.”
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Respiratory Droplets
“The virus likely spreads primarily through respiratory droplets produced when an infected person coughs or sneezes, similar to how influenza and other respiratory infections spread. These droplets can land in the mouths or noses of people who are nearby or possibly be inhaled into the lungs. This type of spread is not a concern after death.”
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Surface to Face
“It may be possible that a person can get COVID-19 by touching a surface or object that has the virus on it and then touching their own mouth, nose, or possibly their eyes, but this is not thought to be the main way the virus spreads.”

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Insurer Resources – Managing Symptoms – Bothersome Symptom Management
Table – BND - Symptom Mitigation in Lieu of Prescription Fixes
-





Action

Note
Detail


-





Ask your pharmacist how they may interact with any medications you currently take

Update you list of medications
Call for a pharmacy review


Drink plenty of liquids

Start each day off right
Drink a glass of potable water first thing in the AM
Before any caffeinated beverage


Stay home and rest

Or in or about an outside safe place



Take pain and fever medications

Avoid

Ibuprophen altogether as   indicated in literature
Acetaminophen (ETX)


Use a room humidifier or take a hot shower to help ease a sore throat and cough

We find for those who can a hot bath is most helpful
(*ETX-MSG)
Take care not to long cause it could imbalance you thermodynamics


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Last Reviewed: 20200329-SUN: (*ETX-MSG) = Extensively Tested by MSG

Special Topic – Respiratory Droplets - About Elevators
As we shared earlier in this paper Buster lives in a moderate risk heterogeneous home.  His off-site office space is lower risk.  Every day that Buster goes to the office he takes more precautionary measures.  His office is on the second floor.  He takes the elevation.  He assumes each day that it is positive for suspended Corona.  First thing when the door opens on the first floor while wearing a mask he sprays the inside of the elevator with disinfectant.  He remains outside as the door closes.  He gives the disinfectant ten (10) minutes to take effect.  The elevator represent both a spatial and temporal risk with COVID-19.  The spatial risk is that it is relatively tight having the approximate dimensions of 6 x 8 x 10.  The temporal risk is that the people using the elevator prior to Buster could introduce COVID-19 into the space.  You just don’t know what occurred in the elevator within the last hour.
[INSERT PHOTOS OF Sample SANITATION MEASURES]
-
-
Spraying small spaces such as elevators
-

-
Using bleach on wet surfaces - especially in bathroom
Changed to white towels
Changed to individual towels
-
-
Dispose of tissue, paper towels, old masks, other potentially infective materials
-
-
We make you of what we can find
50% - 70% - 91%


Use spray isopropyl alcohol for knobs, buttons, and latches
-
-
Clipped nails to recommended length
-
-
Instructed to clip nails
-
-
High end disinfectant



-
Selected Dial because it was recommended by our Ophthalmologist
-
Insurer Resources – Risk Management - Learn More
Table – BND - Populations at Risk (Expected) – Orange County California
At Risk Populations – DEATH Demography
-





Population

Note
Detail


-





Older Adults

As expected
20200428-TU Talked with Buster’s aunt (age 94 and 11/12) yesterday


People who have serious chronic medical conditions like: Heart disease, diabetes, lung disease or obesity

Need to break down by age group
Treatment resistant population


Anyone with immunocompromised type conditions

Need to break down by age group
Treatment & Vaccine resistant population


Children

Lower than expected
Kids may soon be safe to return to public school


-





Last Reviewed: 20200428-TU:
-
Actual Distribution
“People who have serious chronic medical conditions like: Heart disease, diabetes, lung disease or obesity.  We are uncertain the portion that has either or both Mesothelioma [SPELLED] or/and Lung Cancer.”
-
Picking Data Sources
It is amazing how in such a short time how many COVID-19 data sources that popped up.  For this report we use at least four (4) sources: Wikipedia, Kid’s COVID, Google, and OCHCA (“ochealthinfo”).  For our next report we are going to include data and information from the Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine (JHUSOM).
-
FYI: Orange County Healthcare Agency (OCHCA) “ochealthinfo”
-
FYI - Additional Data on Orange County COVID-19 Cases
Date Filter: 2/22/2020 - 4/21/2020
-
FYI - “Doctors there took 360 degree, 3D images of the man’s lungs.  The VR Video of his chest cavity shows the cloudy infection – colorized green – spreading throughout both his lungs.”  Scans need to better describe pre-existing conditions such as Pneumonia or Influenza.
-
-
FYI - CT Provides Best Diagnosis for Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19)
CT scans can detect coronavirus in patients before RT-PCR lab testing
-
Figure - [INSERT PHOTO OF LUNG SCAN]

-
-
Green areas in the lungs are problematic
-
-
-
Environment Activities - Spending New Money
Table - Agency Engagement List (AEL)






AcroCode
Meaning

Note








1-OCHCA
Orange County Health Care Agency

Indicator Organization


CDC
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

Lead


DOI
The U.S. Department of the Interior




HHS
U.S. Department of Health and Human Services

The lead agency coordinating the federal response to COVID-19 is the Lead


NIH
National Institutes of Health




OEM
Office of Emergency Management

Supporting by planning and implementing DOI’s response


WHO
World Health Organization










Last Reviewed: 20200325-W:
-
Performance Challenge – Point in Time - Eradication
Unlike the manners in which Smallpox and Rinderpest were eradicated we here at Mentalation Solutions Group (MSG) propose a different strategy.  Eradicate in the home first, then places one frequents, then hospitals, next Orange County California, then California, then the USA, and finally global eradication.  Because Buster spends so much time in Orange County naturally he wants “The OC’s” control efforts to set a standard.
-
Self – Host Activities – Creating Hurdles (*)
Table – Credit Union Advice – Transmission - “Buster’s” Behaviors
From: SchoolsFirst FCU: email@email.schoolsfirstfcu.org (Modified)
Sent: Thursday, March 12, 2020 1:04 PM
-





Advice

2020
0312
(TH)
2020
0324
(TU)


-





Avoid close contact with people who are sick

Series of must do appointments
Difficult because the people we live with are sick in many ways


Avoid touching eyes, nose, and mouth

Habitual
Reduced
More hand and face washing
Touching beard region instead


Other touch screens

Smartphone business as usual
20200327-F: Sanitized cell phone for the first time
70% Isopropyl Alcohol with clean paper towel


Regularly clean computer keyboards, desks and mobile phones with sanitary wipes.

Put off
70% Alcohol and paper towel (wipes)


Stay home when feeling unwell.

Due to smoking I never feel completely well
Went to remote office facility


Wash hands often and thoroughly

Increased conscious driven lavage hands and face
Dry using clean paper towels


-





Last Reviewed: 20200325-W: * Notion from Mentor Constantin Genigeorgis [SPELLED]
-
Keyboard Bacterial Culture
[INCLUDE PHOTO OF KEYBOARD SWAB RESULTS]
-
-
Example of what comes off a typical keyboard with no special maintenance
-
-
Metadata >
Auto_Ed_Masters_14042101_Research_UCD_Mentors V2020
-
-
Safe V Unsafe V Unknowns
We here at Mentalation Solutions Group (MSG) that individuals consider environments unsafe until a mean to test them becomes available.  Keith Torkelson MS (Buster’s) home is higher risk than his workplace.  At home he crosses paths with up to fifteen (15) people each day.  Most of the people about the house come within six (6) feet of Buster.  At his office place he crosses paths with not more than five (5) people per day.  Typically these people only come within one-hundred feet (100’) of Buster while he is working.  We call Buster’s office Deep Space 226.  The landlord told Buster that his setup at DS226 is a: Good Idea!
-
[SAMPLE PHOTO FROM OFFICE 226: 20200324-TU]


-
Low Risk Space
Office @ Deep Space 226 Facility
-
Controlled V Wild West
The intensity of exposure to Safe and Risky environments is for many an individual affair.  Buster’s 94 year old aunt lives in what we call a Partial Homogeneous environment.  At her home there are three (3) residents: Aunt JMB, cousin JAB, and gopher “M”.  “M” is the one who goes out the most.  In addition, Buster’s aunt runs a family business from home.  There are somewhere around (5) employees.  It is hard to ascertain the coming and goings of here employees, yet to date (April 25, 2020) there appear to be no sickness in their system.  A true Homogeneous environment would be one that all healthy people stay home and maximize their isolation.  Buster lives in what we here a Mentalation Solutions Group (MSG) call a Heterogeneous environment.  The main house operation includes about ten (10) people in tight quarters.  Over half of these people come and go about the community.  It is hard to get a handle on each’s Risk For Corona Rate (F4CR).  In addition for dinner time ten (10) or so from the ancillary house join the main house.  One again, over half of those in the ancillary house come and go about the community.  This includes riding the bus.  In reality it is safe for Buster at his Deep Space 226 Facility (DS226F) than at dinnertime.  Amongst other variables there is inconsistent mask us about the house and when those who go out in the community.  About Buster’s DS226F the management stated: “Now that is a good idea”.
-
[INSERT MASK EXAMPLEs]
-

-
High End Disinfectant
-

Smily Mask in Disinfecting Container
-
Matrix – Corona (COVID-19) Activity – Focus California
Source Wikipedia 20200419-SUN:
-
-





County
Confirmed
Recovered
Deaths
Concern Level







Los Angeles
11391
-
495


Riverside
2457
610
69


San Diego

2158
-
70


Santa Clara
1870
-
73


Orange County
1556
-
32
Stage 1 Primary

San Francisco
1137
-
20


San Bernardino

1096

55


-





California
28963
-
1072
Secondary

United States
763597
70123
40566
Tertiary

Worldwide
2382064
611791
165636
Quaternary

-





Data Acquisition Date: 20200419-SUN: Last Reviewed: 20200422-W:
-
How is it no commas?
This section focuses on accessing online data, capturing online data, and transforming online data.  The original data included commas.  For the purposes of rapid manipulation of data available online or within in house databases at least two formatting markers (delimiters) are used: Comma Separated Values (CSV) and Tab Separated Values (TSV).  The data we share in the table above came to us from Wikipedia online.  It had appropriate commas in the numbers.  Yet the commas mess with rapid reformatting to meet our purposes.  In the no comma format we can manipulate the data points more efficiently.  Due to limited database standardization in the field of Health & Human Services (HSS) data miners are required to do more work than was promised with Technology aiding HHS.
-
Table – Demonstrating Data Transformation – Data Related to Whole of EARTH
20200422-W: Updated: a few seconds ago – “Quick Fact”
-




20020422-W
Cleaned
Stat

Description
2020
0422
(F)
B4
2020
0422
(F)
After
-




2582756

Total Confirmed
2,774,766

2774766

41022

Total Critical
58,568

58568

177976

Total Deceased
194,434

194434

1700960

Total Active
1,810,428

1810428

715031

Total Recovered
770,962

770962

-




Last Reviewed: 20200424-F:
-
20200424-F: Downtime [Message]
“The site was down for a bit, I am very sorry, but it is now fixed.”
-
Dirty Formats – Wrong Formats - TecknoHealth
Dealing With Dirty Data - ETL Software
“Dirty data can contain such mistakes as spelling or punctuation, incorrect data associated with a field, incomplete or outdated data or even data that is duplicated in the database. Other common causes of dirty data are: Wrong field sizes. Wrong and inconsistent formats.”  For us here at MSG wrong formats are those that require multiple steps in our transformation process.  After the capture we routinely convert the data using Special Paste to Unformatted Text.  From there we discover more often than not the data cannot be directed formatted into a table.  HTML is general the format for as webpage or report.  Converting the information can influences Paste speed in that Unformatted Text Pastes up to fifty times faster than HTML Format.
-
Figure – Digital Information Paste Option Example
-
-
Fishing Google
“Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) is an infectious disease caused by a newly discovered coronavirus.  Most people who fall sick with COVID-19 will experience mild to moderate symptoms and recover without special treatment.”

“How it spreads”
“The virus that causes COVID-19 is mainly transmitted through droplets generated when an infected person coughs, sneezes, or exhales. These droplets are too heavy to hang in the air, and quickly fall on floors or surfaces.  You can be infected by breathing in the virus if you are within close proximity of someone who has COVID-19, or by touching a contaminated surface and then your eyes, nose or mouth.”
-
Environmental Control Measures (Brief)
Table - Environmental Control Measures – Combining Some Observations
Materials and Methods
-





Aspect

Note
Detail


-





1-Daily Cleaning Procedures 

Gradual step up
Use a method similar to those for controlling food borne illness on site


2-Promoting Best Practices Recommended By The CDC

Distance self from contagion
Social and temporal distancing


Hand Sanitizer Readily Available

70% Rubbing Alcohol



High-Touch Surfaces (*)

Screens and Surfaces
Cell phones - Laptop and Desktops


Hospital-Grade Disinfectant Products

Anything similar will suffice
70% or greater Rubbing Alcohol & Dial Liquid & Bleach


Mask Maintenance

Daily if used daily
Basic protocol in the PM
Particularly important to contain costs on masks


Moist & Wet Surfaces and Materials

Avoid common towels
Us bleach and wipe up with clean paper towel


Spray Sanitizers - Automatic

What are the highest risk areas in your living spaces?
Recommend installing automatic sanitizer spray unit in the bathroom


Spray Sanitizers - Manual

Minimum # of Treatments: First Treatment
3-6 within an hour


Surveillance

Ideal would be
Sample your safe and risky environments then submit your samples for testing


Wet objects and surfaces

Swap out wet or damp items daily
Particularly bathroom and   kitchen towels


Wipe Maintenance

Typical loads of virus on surfaces
At risk surfaces wipe down seven times at 10 minute intervals: Maintaining surfaces wipe down morning – noon and evening


-





Last Reviewed: 20200410-F:
-
Table - Corona & Friendships – Face-To-Face (F2F)
-







Means

Approx
# 2019
B4
2020
1st Quarter
2020
March
2020
May
Expected


-







Program BND
& CCCHC

20
10
3
4


Wellness Center - West

10
0
0
0


Facebook – F2F

10
0
0
0


Home Network

20
20
20
20


Mental Health Services Act (MHSA)

10
0
0
0


Starbucks

10
0
0
0


Family

6
6
2
0


Office

10
3
3
3


-







Other

-
-
-
-


-







SUM In Person Transactions with Friends Score (IPTFS) =

96
39
28
27


-







Last Updated: 20200501-F:
-
Duplicates
The number of associations here are not one time only transactions.  For the most part the counts represent Buster’s separate relationships.  Throughout the course of a year Buster meets multiple times with some people such as his Personal Care Physician (PCP).  Last year, 2019, Buster transacted face-to-face (F2F) with some odd 96 people.  His transaction rate peaked during the summer on his northern adventure to Los Altos, San Francisco, and Reno.  Much of his interactions with here at Mentalation Solutions Group (MSG) classify as Family Therapy.  In the table above we address individuals we transacted with.  For the whole year (2020) we predict far fewer transactions with different people.  Much of this is associated with COVID-19.
-
-
Gauging Normalcy
MSG’s indication of a return to a degree of normalcy with be the dynamic about the month Orange County Health Care Agency (OCHCA) Mental Health Services Act (MHSA) mandated monthly Steering Committee Meeting (SCM).  Locally in Orange County California the OCHCA governs some of the new and emerging COVID-19 response policies.  We here at MSG hope that the SCM will resume for June of 2020.  The SCM is one of Buster’s favorite engagements.  On the far side the SCM may adopt new routines now that the county has demonstrated they can get by with non-face-to-face meetings, inputs, and decisions.
-
[INSERT FAMILY REUNION and get together photos]
-
-
Family in Reno - August 2019
-
-
Some of the Family Gals
-

Family in Temecula
-
-
Family in San Luis Obispo
-
-
Matrix – Health Related Engagement Friendships
Corona & Friendships – Face-To-Face (F2F)








Means

Approx #
2019
B4
2020
W)
First Quarter
2020
March
2020
April
Expected










Health Related Engagements (HREs)

31.8 per quarter
(Rate = 0.35/Day)
27.0 per quarter
(Rate = 0.30/Day




HREs



12 for whole month
(Rate = 0.39/Day)
(Rate = 0.27/Day)


















Last Updated: 20200417-F:
-
Health Related Engagements (HRE) – Friendships
Buster has only a few friends outside of the home that he spends time face-to-face (F2F) with during any given year.  When he was younger especially as a student at UC Davis he would spend time with a dozen or more people in person per week.  In this modern age of social media (MASM) we have had to work a bit for Buster to short out non-in-person relationships.  Very few of the people who haunt about Facebook qualify as friends.  He share his notions on friendship to those on Facebook.  The results is he has fewer friends on Facebook now.  What are the criteria for a new and improved friend?  High on our list of qualifiers is an individual that Buster has provided physical labor for and that the other individual (friend) can be counted on to help Buster move.  Another is someone you can spend four (4) or more hours with in one sitting (adventure).  There is more yet we will leave MASM and friendship for now.  Buster counts some of his relatives as friends.  Yet, COVID-19 has impacted Buster’s friendships: Potentially some irreversibly.
-
-
Paradigm – “Health 1st – Help 2nd
Matrix - 2012-2018 - Matrix - Health Related Engagement (HRE) & Dosage Summary
Summative – Consumer Keith “Buster” Torkelson
2020 – Summative History
-
-





Year

In
Network
Total
Out of
Network
Note
(Rate: HRE/Day)

-






2012

NR
NR
No CALC
No CALC

2013

NR
NR
No CALC
No CALC

2014

NR
82
No CALC
82/365 = 0.22

2015

33
80
47
80/365 = 0.22

2016

45
88
33
88/365 = 0.24

2017

78
120
32
120/365 = 0.33

2018

52
126
74
126/365 = 0.35

-






Matrix - Health Related Engagement (HRE) Summary – NR = Not Recorded: Last Updated: 20200417-F: Network = Brand New Day Insurance Network
-
Paradigm – “Health 1st – Help 2nd
Matrix - 2019-2020 - Health Related Engagements (HRE) & Dosage Summary
Summative – Consumer Keith “Buster” Torkelson
2020 - Formative
-






Year

In
Network
Total
Out of
Network
Note
(Rate: HRE/Day)

-






2019
[Control]

45
127
82
127/365 = 0.35
Baseline








2020
As of
March 10th

11
19
8
19/70 = 0.27

2020
March 1 to March 31

5
12
7
12/31 = 0.39

2020 As of March 31st


15
27
12
27/91 = 0.30

2020 (YTD)
As of April 15th

16
29
13
29/106 = 0.27

2020
April 1 to April 15

1
2
1
4/15 = 0.27

-






Matrix - Health Related Engagement (HRE) Summary – NR = Not Recorded: YTD = Year To Date: Last Updated: 20200417-F: Network = Brand New Day Insurance Network
-
Health Related Engagement Frequency (HRE-ℱ)
If you notice Buster’s Health Related Engagement (HRE) reached a frequency of 0.35 per day during both 2018 & 2019.  After 2019 Buster came to believe that 0.35 would be a peak.  We here at Mentalation Solutions Group (MSG) agree with Buster.  After the burst of appointments in March now we see what we expected: Buster’s HRE rate from April 1 to April 15, 2020 is 0.27 per day.  So we wonder, is Buster getting better in that he is getting by with fewer social encounters?
-
March Suit Up & Show Up Approach
We had several appointments scheduled during the month of March for Buster.  At least one essential, one important, and one optional. Coming into the week of March 16, 2020 we here at Mentalation Solutions Group (MSG) decided Buster should keep all planned engagements.  Putting things off could have dire circumstances.  In addition it could actually cost Buster some money.  We paced Buster for the final engagement of the week meeting with his 94 year old aunt for Family Therapy.  Buster and his aunt had planned an all-you-can eat Smelt (fish) feast.  The engagement ended unexpectedly when Buster’s aunt’s daughter (cousin) declared Buster a COVID-19 carrier and kicked him out.  It is more than a month since and Buster has not been invited back.  Buster and his aunt pretty much since she turned 90 years old have wondered in which manner they would part ways.  
-
-
Integrating About Technology
Appendix - Table - Associated Papers – Spring 2020
-
Theme
Principal
Development
Note
-
Corona I
Chester D Mojica (CDM)
MD-On Call
Reports PRN
Took a long time
Digital Appointments Via Smart Phone
Mentalation Solutions Group (MSG)
Graduate to
TecknoHealth
In better position to take advantage
GRAVITY
Avey CE Asus (ACEA)
Fun Paper
Pinterest Alternative
Health and Housing
Jeffery A Nagel (JAN)
OCHCA
Housing Help Line
Stayed for Corona
Sleep
MSG
SleepAbility
20200408-W
Major change Spice user moves away
TecknoHealth
MSG
Integration
Consumer side of Health Technology
Teladoc
MD-On Call
Report II
Telepsychiatry
Rimal B Bera (RBB)
P4D Report
20200408-W
Worker announces Appts by phone only
-
Last Reviewed: 2020040424-F:
-
Notes
Orange County Health Care Agency (OCHCA)
Taking A Hit
Resource Overwhelm

-
Promotion @ One Health
-
-
Hometown Davis California
-
Images @ The End
-
Friends in Photos
-
MSG Cemetery - These People Died Too Young
Full Cemetery V Select
-
-
Dewitt C
-
Joe Jack the Cat
-
-
Kelly Thomas
-
-
Eugene F
-

-
Craig T
-


Mark

Devin P

Dewitt C


-
Matt H
-
Mike S


-
Ethan B


WarBrook
-
The End
999
-30-

-


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